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宏观金融研究中心 | cmf.cafr.cn Reviews

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Center for Macro Finance

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1

中心简介 - 宏观金融研究中心

http://cmf.cafr.cn/content/page/7.html

2013年12月,上海交通大学上海高级金融学院成立了宏观金融研究中心 简称CMF ,中心由张春教授和美联储经济学家查涛教授联合主持,由诺贝尔经济学奖得主Christopher Sims教授和多位海外知名宏观经济学者任学术顾问。 1中国宏观数据的整理和调整 构建不同频率的中国宏观经济研究数据 对主要经济指标进行季调,其中最为关键的是要调整春节这一特殊因素所造成的季节性影响 利用差值等方法,补齐关键经济数据的缺失值。 2 中国宏观经济预测 运用计量经济学和统计学的最新方法,寻找和认定中国宏观经济数据的基本特征和基本规律,并在此基础上建立现代的宏观预测模型 考虑中国经济结构性变化的特点,研发加入了区制转移 regime-swithcing 的中国BVAR模型 开发将宏观经济数据和金融市场数据相结合的混频率经济预测模型,以改善宏观预测的及时性和准确性。

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工作论文 - 宏观金融研究中心

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最新预测 - 宏观金融研究中心

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联系我们 - 宏观金融研究中心

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电邮 wnzhong@saif.sjtu.edu.cn. 网址 cmf.cafr.cn.

5

专家团队 - 宏观金融研究中心

http://cmf.cafr.cn/content/page/4.html

Christopher A. Sims.

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中国金融研究院

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Center for Macro Finance

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Center for Macro Finance

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2016 Conference on Business Cycles, Financial Markets, and Monetary Policy. Senior Officers from Fed and ECB Met World-class Scholars at SAIF. 2015 Conference on China Macroeconomy and Monetary Policy. Call for Papers for 2015 Fall Seminar Forecast on China’s Macroeconomics". 2014 Conference on Macroeconomics Policies and Business Cycles. 2015 Spring Conference on China Macroeconomy and Monentary Policy.

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Center for Macro Finance

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Center for Macro Finance

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Executive Dean and Professor of Finance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance. Professor, Department of Economics, Emory University; Fellow of The National Bureau of Economic Research. Christopher A. Sims. Professor of Economics, Princeton University. Professor, Department of Economics, Northwest University. Professor of International Finance, Northwest University; Fellow of The National Bureau of Economic Research. Professor of Finance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Antai...

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Center for Macro Finance

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Today, CMF focuses on the following three areas:. 1 Compilation and adjustment of China’s macro data Structure the research data on China’s macroeconomy at different frequency; perform quarterly adjustments on key indicators, in particular the seasonal effect caused by Chinese New Year; and complete the missing key data by interpolation and other means.

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Center for Macro Finance

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This data set contains the quarterly series of 62 key macro indicators in China and serves as the basic database for empirical research on China’s macroeconomy. The data are primarily sourced from CEIC and Bureau of Statistics, with the following adjustments:. All data are adjusted on a quarterly basis except for interest rate and deposit reserve;. All data are completed up to the earliest year with record;. The level value of real quarterly GDP and GDP deflator are structured;. Note on time indication:.

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中国金融研究院

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Center for Macro Finance

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Shanghai Jiao Tong University Center of Macro Finance. Address: Shanghai Jiao Tong University Xuhui Campus,. 12F, 211, Datong Plaza, West Huaihai Road,. Wnzhong@saif.sjtu.edu.cn.

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