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Increased certainty of punishment for attacks deters VEOs from carrying out those attacks. The larger the size of a punishment, the less credible that it is. Failure to follow through on a deterrent threat leads to loss of credibility and increased VEO activity. VEOs are intimidated if state threats are executed or if states retaliate after a provocative terrorist attack. VEOs are emboldened by state passivity in the face of provocation, leading to escalation. Leaders, Loyalists, Broader Audience. If val...

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Increased certainty of punishment for attacks deters VEOs from carrying out those attacks. The larger the size of a punishment, the less credible that it is. Failure to follow through on a deterrent threat leads to loss of credibility and increased VEO activity. VEOs are intimidated if state threats are executed or if states retaliate after a provocative terrorist attack. VEOs are emboldened by state passivity in the face of provocation, leading to escalation. Leaders, Loyalists, Broader Audience. If val...

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1 jump to navigation

2 literature review

3 hypothesis

4 empirical support score

5 applicability score

6 knopf typology

7 dimefil

8 davis and jenkins

9 system level targeted

10 iveo framework

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jump to navigation,literature review,hypothesis,empirical support score,applicability score,knopf typology,dimefil,davis and jenkins,system level targeted,iveo framework,direct,military deterrence/coercion,military,deter,coercion,hypothesis 1 implications

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START | start.foxtrotdev.com Reviews

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Increased certainty of punishment for attacks deters VEOs from carrying out those attacks. The larger the size of a punishment, the less credible that it is. Failure to follow through on a deterrent threat leads to loss of credibility and increased VEO activity. VEOs are intimidated if state threats are executed or if states retaliate after a provocative terrorist attack. VEOs are emboldened by state passivity in the face of provocation, leading to escalation. Leaders, Loyalists, Broader Audience. If val...

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Davis and Jenkins | START

http://start.foxtrotdev.com/davis-and-jenkins

Davis and Jenkins' Influence Spectrum. Raise Risks and Uncertainties. Be Seen as Able to Defend. Deter Next Time by Punishing Now.

2

About the Project | START

http://start.foxtrotdev.com/about-project

The term influence operation is defined broadly for the scope of this project. Any action taken by a government, including the military, to affect the behavior, motivation, and/or capabilities of a violent extremist organization (VEO) is considered an influence operation. Cooptation, dissuasion, deterrence, and defeat all fall within the spectrum of influence operations [1]. Influencing Violent Extremist Organizations: Planning Influence Activities While Accounting for Unintended Side Effects. Represente...

3

System Level Targeted | START

http://start.foxtrotdev.com/system-level-targeted

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Applicability Score | START

http://start.foxtrotdev.com/applicability-score

There is no empirical support in any context. Empirical results are derived from alternative contexts and you are quite confident that the results do not apply to influencing VEOs. Empirical results are derived from alternative contexts and you do not believe that they will necessarily apply to the VEO context, but there might be some possibility that they do apply. High Confidence: Different Context. High Confidence: Similar Context.

5

KNOPF | START

http://start.foxtrotdev.com/knopf

Knopf's Influence Operation Typology. Retaliation against the VEO. Retaliate against the community/society which the VEO claims to represent. Alternative (non-military) Punishment Threats. Legal (e.g., arrest and imprisonment). With the VEO as a whole. With Third Parties who can influence the VEO. Attempts to identify and separate out moderates. Promote dialogue among groups. Positive Incentives/Opening Up Alternative Options. Economic Development and Incentives.

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Counterterrorism and Countering Violent Extremism | START.umd.edu

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Skip to main content. A Department of Homeland Security Center of Excellence led by the University of Maryland. Terrorism and Violent Extremism. Counterterrorism and Countering Violent Extremism. Risk Communication and Resilience. Unconventional Weapons and Technology. Global Terrorism Minor Program. Community Resilience, Engagement, and Dialogue Fellowship. Countering Violent Extremism Fellowship. Cyber Security Fellows (CySeF). Subscribe to receive notifications about START Training Opportunities.

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Increased certainty of punishment for attacks deters VEOs from carrying out those attacks. The larger the size of a punishment, the less credible that it is. Failure to follow through on a deterrent threat leads to loss of credibility and increased VEO activity. VEOs are intimidated if state threats are executed or if states retaliate after a provocative terrorist attack. VEOs are emboldened by state passivity in the face of provocation, leading to escalation. Leaders, Loyalists, Broader Audience. If val...

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